Stuttgart II vs Mainz 05 II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
22.3%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stuttgart II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2003 |
STU
2 - 1
FEU
47%
25%
28%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2003 |
PFU
2 - 0
STU
40%
26%
34%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2003 |
STU
1 - 2
HOF
36%
26%
38%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2003 |
AUG
3 - 0
STU
54%
23%
23%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2003 |
STU
3 - 0
ELV
50%
26%
24%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Mainz 05 II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2003 |
MAI
0 - 2
PFU
40%
26%
34%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2003 |
HOF
2 - 2
MAI
65%
20%
15%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2003 |
MAI
1 - 0
AUG
31%
27%
42%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2003 |
ELV
1 - 1
MAI
54%
24%
22%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2003 |
MAI
1 - 1
KSC
21%
25%
54%
|
50 | 66 | 16 | +1 |