Stuttgart II vs Ingolstadt 04 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.4%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
16.9%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stuttgart II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2006 |
BAY
4 - 1
STU
40%
27%
34%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2006 |
KAI
0 - 2
STU
24%
26%
50%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2006 |
STU
0 - 0
KSC
58%
23%
20%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2006 |
VFR
5 - 2
STU
42%
26%
33%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2006 |
STU
3 - 1
ELV
57%
23%
21%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Ingolstadt 04
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2006 |
ING
4 - 0
KAI
58%
23%
20%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2006 |
KSC
1 - 0
ING
49%
26%
26%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2006 |
ING
1 - 1
VFR
36%
27%
38%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2006 |
ELV
0 - 0
ING
45%
27%
28%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2006 |
ING
0 - 1
HOF
39%
27%
35%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | 0 |