Stuttgart II vs Erzgebirge Aue analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.6%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
34.9%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stuttgart II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2010 |
WAC
3 - 0
STU
35%
27%
39%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2010 |
STU
1 - 0
HOL
55%
24%
22%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2010 |
BOR
1 - 2
STU
42%
27%
32%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2010 |
STU
3 - 0
SVS
38%
25%
37%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2010 |
STU
0 - 1
OSN
35%
27%
38%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Erzgebirge Aue
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2010 |
ERF
0 - 0
ERZ
35%
27%
38%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2010 |
SSV
2 - 1
ERZ
33%
27%
40%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2010 |
ERZ
2 - 0
BAY
45%
26%
29%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2010 |
ERZ
2 - 0
SGD
51%
26%
22%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2010 |
SVS
0 - 0
ERZ
43%
26%
31%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |