Q. Europa League 2nd Round Final
Global 2-2
Sturm Graz vs Zurich analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.9%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
7%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
33.5%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sturm Graz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2008 |
STR
2 - 0
LAS
54%
25%
21%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2008 |
DOR
0 - 2
STR
10%
19%
71%
|
82 | 39 | 43 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2008 |
ZUR
1 - 1
STR
49%
26%
25%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2008 |
KAP
1 - 3
STR
28%
26%
46%
|
82 | 67 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2008 |
AUK
0 - 2
STR
27%
28%
45%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Zurich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2008 |
SIO
1 - 3
ZUR
34%
25%
40%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2008 |
ZUR
1 - 4
BAS
35%
26%
40%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2008 |
ZUR
1 - 1
STR
49%
26%
25%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2008 |
GCZ
2 - 2
ZUR
46%
25%
29%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2008 |
ZUR
2 - 1
YOB
36%
26%
38%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | +1 |