Sturm Graz vs Wolfsberger AC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.9%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.9%
1-0
8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.4%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
35.6%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
48
2º
6º
2º
21
6º
12º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
55 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
48 | 48 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
38 | 38 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
32 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
33 | 33 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
30 | 30 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 28 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
27 | 27 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
21 | 21 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
18 | 18 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
18 | 18 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 17 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sturm Graz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2022 |
LAZ
2 - 2
STR
68%
18%
14%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
STR
2 - 1
WAT
50%
24%
26%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2022 |
STR
0 - 0
LAZ
28%
25%
47%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
AUS
0 - 3
STR
46%
24%
31%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2022 |
STR
5 - 1
MAR
59%
22%
20%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Wolfsberger AC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
WOL
1 - 2
RIE
60%
22%
18%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
SCA
1 - 3
WOL
20%
22%
58%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
WOL
3 - 1
HAR
52%
23%
25%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
RAP
1 - 3
WOL
45%
24%
31%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
WOL
3 - 4
SKA
52%
23%
25%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | -1 |