Sturm Graz vs WSG Tirol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.7%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
28.7%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
46
1º
10º
1º
19
3º
11º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
46 | 46 |
1º
|
0% | |
|
2º
|
46 | 46 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
38 | 38 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
36 | 36 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 34 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 33 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 31 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
26 | 26 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
21 | 21 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
19 | 19 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
16 | 16 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 16 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sturm Graz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2024 |
RIE
1 - 3
STR
42%
24%
34%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
STR
2 - 1
ALT
51%
25%
24%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
SKA
0 - 2
STR
47%
23%
30%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
STR
2 - 0
HAR
37%
25%
38%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2024 |
STR
2 - 2
PSG
13%
18%
69%
|
81 | 92 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
WSG Tirol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2024 |
DLB
2 - 4
WAT
9%
15%
76%
|
78 | 53 | 25 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
WAT
0 - 1
SKA
31%
24%
45%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
RAP
2 - 0
WAT
50%
23%
27%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2024 |
BYM
3 - 0
WAT
85%
11%
4%
|
78 | 98 | 20 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
WAT
0 - 0
GRA
40%
24%
36%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |