Sturm Graz vs WSG Tirol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.7%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.4%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
26.3%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
48
2º
6º
2º
28
4º
10º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
55 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
48 | 48 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
38 | 38 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
32 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
33 | 33 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
30 | 30 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
28 | 28 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
27 | 27 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
21 | 21 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
18 | 18 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
18 | 18 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 17 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sturm Graz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2022 |
STR
0 - 0
LAZ
28%
25%
47%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
AUS
0 - 3
STR
46%
24%
31%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2022 |
STR
5 - 1
MAR
59%
22%
20%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
STR
2 - 0
SCA
63%
21%
16%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2022 |
FEY
6 - 0
STR
65%
19%
16%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
WSG Tirol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
WAT
0 - 5
RAP
37%
25%
39%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2022 |
WAT
0 - 1
MUN
60%
20%
19%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
LAS
1 - 4
WAT
53%
23%
24%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
WAT
0 - 0
ALT
60%
22%
18%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
RBS
2 - 0
WAT
56%
22%
23%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |