Sturm Graz vs SW Bregenz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.4%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.4%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
21.3%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sturm Graz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2004 |
WIN
2 - 1
STR
40%
26%
34%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2004 |
STR
0 - 1
RAP
52%
24%
24%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2004 |
GRA
1 - 0
STR
45%
25%
30%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2004 |
STR
1 - 0
AWM
60%
22%
19%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Jul. 2004 |
SVP
3 - 0
STR
11%
21%
68%
|
80 | 59 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
SW Bregenz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2004 |
SWB
0 - 9
AUS
47%
25%
28%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2004 |
RBS
4 - 2
SWB
51%
24%
25%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 2004 |
WIN
1 - 1
SWB
41%
25%
34%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2004 |
UDL
2 - 0
SWB
50%
24%
26%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2004 |
SWB
1 - 3
GRA
44%
24%
31%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |