Sturm Graz vs SW Bregenz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.6%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.3%
2-0
9%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.1%
18.3%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sturm Graz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2003 |
GRA
2 - 1
STR
46%
25%
29%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2003 |
STR
2 - 2
RBS
54%
23%
22%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2003 |
2 - 3
STR
45%
26%
30%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2003 |
STR
0 - 3
AUS
52%
23%
25%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2003 |
FCK
3 - 1
STR
40%
25%
35%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
SW Bregenz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2003 |
SWB
0 - 1
AWM
66%
20%
15%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2003 |
SWB
2 - 1
GRA
37%
25%
38%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2003 |
RAP
1 - 1
SWB
50%
25%
26%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2003 |
SWB
2 - 1
41%
25%
34%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2003 |
RBS
4 - 1
SWB
60%
21%
18%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | -1 |