Sturm Graz vs Rapid Wien analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.9%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
33.6%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
48
2º
6º
2º
33
1º
7º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
55 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
48 | 48 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
38 | 38 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
32 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
33 | 33 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
30 | 30 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 28 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
27 | 27 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
21 | 21 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
18 | 18 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
18 | 18 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 17 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sturm Graz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
DLB
1 - 3
STR
6%
14%
80%
|
81 | 46 | 35 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2023 |
RBS
1 - 1
STR
47%
24%
30%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2023 |
STR
3 - 4
WEI
88%
9%
3%
|
81 | 30 | 51 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2023 |
STR
3 - 2
RYV
71%
18%
11%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2023 |
FUR
1 - 3
STR
4%
12%
85%
|
81 | 24 | 57 | 0 |
Matches
Rapid Wien
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2023 |
WOL
1 - 3
RAP
43%
24%
33%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2023 |
RAP
4 - 0
DYN
46%
24%
31%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2023 |
TEP
1 - 3
RAP
21%
22%
58%
|
82 | 65 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2023 |
RAP
2 - 3
SLA
62%
21%
17%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2023 |
RAP
6 - 0
DON
89%
9%
3%
|
82 | 41 | 41 | 0 |