Sturm Graz vs Rapid Wien analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.9%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
4%
1-0
1.6%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
8.8%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
1.1%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
14.8%
70.2%
Win probability
3.06
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
5.5%
3-4
2%
4-5
0.4%
5-6
0.1%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
4.2%
3-5
1.2%
4-6
0.2%
5-7
0%
-2
18.6%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
5.9%
2-5
2.6%
3-6
0.6%
4-7
0.1%
5-8
0%
-3
14.6%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
3.6%
2-6
1.3%
3-7
0.3%
4-8
0%
-4
9.3%
0-5
2.5%
1-6
1.8%
2-7
0.6%
3-8
0.1%
4-9
0%
-5
5%
0-6
1.3%
1-7
0.8%
2-8
0.2%
3-9
0%
-6
2.3%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.3%
2-9
0.1%
3-10
0%
-7
1%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0.1%
2-10
0%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sturm Graz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 1942 |
AWM
8 - 1
STR
81%
11%
9%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1942 |
STR
1 - 5
VIE
22%
19%
60%
|
66 | 82 | 16 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 1942 |
STR
2 - 4
FAC
45%
21%
34%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 1942 |
STR
2 - 6
FCW
47%
22%
31%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 1942 |
AUS
3 - 1
STR
77%
13%
10%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Rapid Wien
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 1942 |
RAP
2 - 5
OST
95%
3%
1%
|
82 | 46 | 36 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1942 |
RAP
3 - 3
VIE
66%
16%
18%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1942 |
AWM
2 - 3
RAP
43%
19%
38%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1942 |
FCW
0 - 3
RAP
34%
20%
46%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 1942 |
RAP
2 - 4
FAC
82%
10%
8%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | -1 |