Q. Europa League Playoffs Final
Global 5-1
Sturm Graz vs NS Mura analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.1%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
21%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.9%
17.1%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sturm Graz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2021 |
STR
2 - 2
AUS
51%
23%
26%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2021 |
NSM
1 - 3
STR
33%
26%
41%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2021 |
LAS
1 - 3
STR
50%
24%
26%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
STR
3 - 1
ALT
65%
21%
15%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2021 |
SVW
2 - 1
STR
5%
13%
82%
|
81 | 28 | 53 | +1 |
Matches
NS Mura
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2021 |
NSM
1 - 0
CEL
52%
26%
22%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2021 |
NSM
1 - 3
STR
33%
26%
41%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2021 |
ZAL
0 - 1
NSM
54%
23%
23%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Aug. 2021 |
ALU
1 - 1
NSM
26%
27%
47%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2021 |
NSM
0 - 0
ZAL
39%
24%
37%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |