Intertoto Cup 1/16
Global 6-1
Sturm Graz vs FC Rangers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.5%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.4%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.5%
13.9%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sturm Graz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jun. 2005 |
FCR
1 - 1
STR
40%
23%
37%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2005 |
MAT
1 - 3
STR
43%
25%
32%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 May. 2005 |
STR
3 - 0
SVP
51%
25%
24%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2005 |
AUS
2 - 2
STR
47%
26%
27%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2005 |
STR
1 - 1
GRA
42%
26%
32%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
FC Rangers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jun. 2005 |
FCR
1 - 1
STR
40%
23%
37%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2005 |
SCO
0 - 1
FCR
47%
25%
28%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2005 |
FCR
3 - 0
PRI
69%
18%
13%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2005 |
FCR
0 - 1
SJU
46%
24%
30%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2005 |
FCR
2 - 0
SCO
47%
24%
29%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |