Sturm Graz vs Blau-Weiß Linz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.2%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.5%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
23%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
23.8%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
46
1º
2º
2º
19
8º
12º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
50 | 50 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
46 | 46 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
35 | 35 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
34 | 34 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 34 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 33 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 33 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 30 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
19 | 19 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
|
10º
|
19 | 19 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
14 | 14 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
10 | 10 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sturm Graz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
SCA
0 - 1
STR
34%
24%
42%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2023 |
STR
1 - 3
PSV
19%
21%
60%
|
82 | 89 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
STR
0 - 0
SKA
46%
23%
31%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2023 |
PSV
4 - 1
STR
68%
18%
14%
|
82 | 89 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
STR
2 - 0
LAS
43%
25%
32%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Blau-Weiß Linz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
FCB
0 - 5
RAP
32%
24%
44%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
LAS
2 - 0
FCB
56%
22%
22%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
FCB
3 - 3
HAR
40%
25%
35%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
WOL
2 - 1
FCB
52%
23%
25%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
SVW
1 - 5
FCB
4%
10%
86%
|
77 | 34 | 43 | 0 |