Sturm Graz vs Atalanta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12.6%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.7%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.1%
20%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20%
67.5%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
13%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.7%
0-3
8.7%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
12.5%
0-4
4.4%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.9%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sturm Graz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
STR
2 - 1
HAR
48%
24%
27%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2023 |
STR
4 - 1
FAC
70%
18%
12%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
WOL
1 - 2
STR
42%
24%
33%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2023 |
RAK
0 - 1
STR
38%
24%
38%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
STR
1 - 0
WAT
52%
23%
25%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Atalanta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
ATL
2 - 0
GEN
82%
12%
6%
|
91 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
LAZ
3 - 2
ATL
43%
24%
32%
|
91 | 91 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2023 |
SCP
1 - 2
ATL
34%
25%
41%
|
91 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
ATL
0 - 0
JUV
52%
23%
25%
|
91 | 93 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2023 |
VER
0 - 1
ATL
20%
23%
58%
|
91 | 82 | 9 | 0 |