Sturm Graz vs AEK Athens analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.5%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.2%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
39.6%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sturm Graz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
STR
5 - 1
AUS
40%
27%
33%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
WIN
1 - 0
STR
27%
26%
48%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2011 |
LOK
3 - 1
STR
57%
23%
20%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
STR
3 - 1
AWM
51%
26%
24%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
WIE
3 - 1
STR
28%
26%
46%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
AEK Athens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
AEK
2 - 1
GIA
71%
19%
10%
|
81 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
AEK
1 - 0
KER
78%
16%
6%
|
80 | 65 | 15 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2011 |
AEK
1 - 2
AND
31%
27%
42%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
PGE
0 - 2
AEK
14%
22%
64%
|
80 | 62 | 18 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2011 |
AEK
2 - 1
LEV
84%
13%
4%
|
80 | 56 | 24 | 0 |