Sturm Graz vs Admira Wacker analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.2%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
25.6%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sturm Graz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
STR
2 - 1
RBS
40%
27%
33%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2011 |
STR
0 - 2
AND
29%
28%
44%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
MAT
3 - 3
STR
26%
25%
49%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
STR
1 - 0
RIE
43%
27%
30%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2011 |
AEK
1 - 2
STR
46%
25%
29%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Admira Wacker
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
AWM
3 - 2
WIN
57%
23%
20%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
KAP
0 - 0
AWM
30%
25%
46%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
AWM
4 - 3
RAP
37%
26%
37%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
AWM
2 - 1
RBS
37%
27%
37%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2011 |
PAR
0 - 1
AWM
10%
17%
73%
|
75 | 47 | 28 | 0 |