Sturm Graz II vs SV Pasching analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.5%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.9%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.3%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
61.8%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
11.4%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
10.7%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sturm Graz II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
LAJ
1 - 0
STU
68%
19%
14%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
STU
1 - 4
KLA
54%
22%
24%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
ALL
2 - 0
STU
65%
20%
16%
|
36 | 46 | 10 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
STU
1 - 0
FEL
64%
19%
16%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2010 |
STU
1 - 1
VOC
46%
23%
31%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
SV Pasching
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2011 |
SVP
1 - 1
VOI
76%
16%
8%
|
60 | 37 | 23 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
SVP
1 - 2
LAJ
74%
17%
10%
|
60 | 43 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
KLA
0 - 1
SVP
16%
22%
63%
|
61 | 36 | 25 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2011 |
SVP
2 - 2
ALL
72%
18%
10%
|
61 | 46 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2010 |
SVP
1 - 0
FEL
78%
15%
7%
|
62 | 32 | 30 | -1 |