Sturm Graz II vs Union St. Florian analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.3%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.9%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
21.1%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sturm Graz II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2015 |
ALL
2 - 3
STU
61%
21%
18%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
WAC
1 - 1
STU
35%
22%
43%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2015 |
STU
1 - 2
SVW
60%
21%
19%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2015 |
SVP
4 - 0
STU
73%
17%
11%
|
42 | 52 | 10 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2015 |
STU
3 - 1
SVL
37%
23%
39%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | +2 |
Matches
Union St. Florian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2015 |
STF
6 - 1
WAC
61%
20%
19%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2015 |
SVW
1 - 5
STF
54%
23%
23%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | +2 |
| 11 Sep. 2015 |
STF
4 - 3
SVP
15%
21%
65%
|
37 | 52 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2015 |
SVL
2 - 2
STF
75%
16%
10%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2015 |
STF
0 - 0
FCB
16%
21%
63%
|
36 | 52 | 16 | 0 |