Sturm Graz II vs Union St. Florian analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.6%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.7%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.1%
16.3%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sturm Graz II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2015 |
SVW
1 - 0
STU
47%
25%
28%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2015 |
STU
1 - 2
SVL
38%
24%
39%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
KAL
0 - 2
STU
59%
21%
20%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2015 |
STU
2 - 4
FCB
47%
24%
30%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2015 |
SKA
1 - 0
STU
67%
19%
14%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Union St. Florian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2015 |
STF
1 - 3
VOR
35%
27%
38%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
STF
0 - 1
SVW
42%
26%
32%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
SVL
0 - 1
STF
76%
15%
9%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2015 |
STF
1 - 0
KAL
23%
22%
54%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | +3 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
FCB
1 - 1
STF
69%
19%
12%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | 0 |