Sturm Graz II vs Union St. Florian analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.6%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.6%
15.4%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sturm Graz II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2009 |
SVL
1 - 2
STU
28%
24%
48%
|
43 | 32 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2009 |
WAC
0 - 1
STU
49%
25%
26%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Jun. 2009 |
STU
0 - 2
FCB
62%
21%
16%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Jun. 2009 |
WEI
4 - 2
STU
35%
24%
41%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | -2 |
| 31 May. 2009 |
HAR
1 - 0
STU
53%
23%
24%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Union St. Florian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2009 |
STF
0 - 2
FCB
49%
25%
26%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2009 |
WEI
0 - 0
STF
58%
21%
20%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Jun. 2009 |
STF
1 - 2
VOI
35%
25%
39%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 May. 2009 |
AUS
0 - 1
STF
33%
25%
42%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 May. 2009 |
STF
1 - 1
FEL
63%
20%
17%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | 0 |