Sturm Graz II vs Union St. Florian analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.9%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.3%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
16.4%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sturm Graz II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2009 |
ALL
1 - 1
STU
31%
25%
44%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
STU
1 - 0
KLA
62%
21%
17%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2009 |
GRA
2 - 2
STU
69%
19%
12%
|
43 | 59 | 16 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
STU
0 - 1
WEL
51%
23%
26%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
STU
1 - 1
SPI
74%
17%
10%
|
44 | 32 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Union St. Florian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2009 |
STF
1 - 1
SPI
63%
21%
17%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2009 |
WAC
2 - 0
STF
50%
25%
25%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2009 |
STF
2 - 3
FCB
50%
25%
25%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2009 |
HAR
2 - 0
STF
60%
22%
18%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2009 |
STF
4 - 1
VEI
68%
19%
14%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | +1 |