Sturm Graz II vs St. Stefan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.2%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.6%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.1%
14.7%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sturm Graz II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2009 |
AUS
3 - 0
STU
19%
23%
58%
|
44 | 27 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2009 |
STU
3 - 1
12%
22%
66%
|
42 | 81 | 39 | +2 |
| 07 Aug. 2009 |
STU
0 - 3
STF
64%
21%
15%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | -2 |
| 01 Aug. 2009 |
SVL
1 - 2
STU
28%
24%
48%
|
43 | 32 | 11 | +1 |
| 12 Jun. 2009 |
WAC
0 - 1
STU
49%
25%
26%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
St. Stefan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2009 |
SCL
2 - 3
FCB
39%
25%
36%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2009 |
WAC
0 - 0
SCL
64%
21%
15%
|
34 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2009 |
SCL
3 - 0
WEI
34%
25%
41%
|
31 | 40 | 9 | +3 |
| 13 Jun. 2009 |
MIC
1 - 1
SCL
16%
22%
62%
|
33 | 16 | 17 | -2 |
| 06 Jun. 2009 |
SCL
1 - 0
WOL
78%
15%
8%
|
33 | 17 | 16 | 0 |