Sturm Graz II vs Grieskirchen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.1%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.1%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
18.5%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sturm Graz II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2007 |
FCK
1 - 4
STU
47%
26%
27%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2007 |
STU
1 - 3
KOF
51%
24%
25%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2007 |
VOC
1 - 0
STU
63%
21%
16%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2007 |
STU
1 - 0
ALL
43%
24%
33%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2006 |
SPI
3 - 2
STU
56%
24%
20%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Grieskirchen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2007 |
GRI
0 - 1
STF
35%
25%
40%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2007 |
FEL
1 - 0
GRI
72%
17%
11%
|
35 | 46 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2007 |
GRI
2 - 0
UNP
37%
26%
38%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | +2 |
| 23 Mar. 2007 |
WEL
2 - 1
GRI
63%
20%
17%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2006 |
GRI
1 - 0
WAC
22%
26%
53%
|
30 | 46 | 16 | +4 |