Sturm Graz II vs Blau-Weiß Linz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.3%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.9%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.4%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
59.2%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
10%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.7%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.1%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.3%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
5º
15º
12º
61
1º
14º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
61 | 61 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 60 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
56 | 56 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 48 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 41 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 35 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
34 | 34 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
32 | 32 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
30 | 30 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
29 | 29 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sturm Graz II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2022 |
SKN
2 - 5
STU
60%
23%
17%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2022 |
STU
1 - 1
RAP
52%
23%
26%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2022 |
STU
2 - 0
SVL
19%
22%
59%
|
53 | 66 | 13 | +2 |
| 22 Jul. 2022 |
SVH
2 - 1
STU
41%
25%
35%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Jun. 2022 |
STA
1 - 5
STU
5%
14%
80%
|
54 | 13 | 41 | 0 |
Matches
Blau-Weiß Linz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2022 |
FCB
1 - 1
GRA
56%
22%
22%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2022 |
SVH
2 - 1
FCB
12%
19%
69%
|
70 | 53 | 17 | -1 |
| 29 Jul. 2022 |
FCB
4 - 2
AUS
74%
17%
9%
|
69 | 53 | 16 | +1 |
| 22 Jul. 2022 |
VIE
2 - 0
FCB
12%
19%
70%
|
70 | 53 | 17 | -1 |
| 16 Jul. 2022 |
HOH
1 - 10
FCB
5%
11%
83%
|
70 | 40 | 30 | 0 |