Sturm Graz II vs Bad Aussee analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81.2%
Win probability
2.75
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.6%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.9%
4-0
8%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.3%
3-0
11.6%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.8%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
12.5%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
6%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.5%
6.2%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sturm Graz II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2010 |
STF
1 - 0
STU
49%
24%
27%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
STU
6 - 4
SVL
58%
21%
22%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | +2 |
| 06 Nov. 2009 |
STU
4 - 1
WEL
47%
24%
30%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2009 |
KLA
2 - 1
STU
37%
25%
39%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2009 |
FCB
4 - 0
STU
54%
23%
23%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Bad Aussee
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2010 |
WAC
5 - 0
AUS
76%
16%
8%
|
22 | 49 | 27 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2009 |
WEI
5 - 0
AUS
77%
14%
9%
|
23 | 41 | 18 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2009 |
AUS
1 - 2
VOI
19%
23%
59%
|
24 | 41 | 17 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2009 |
ALL
5 - 1
AUS
72%
18%
11%
|
25 | 39 | 14 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2009 |
AUS
1 - 2
VEI
57%
21%
22%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | 0 |