Sturm Graz II vs Bad Aussee analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.9%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.1%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.3%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
39.8%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sturm Graz II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2006 |
KLA
2 - 1
STU
58%
23%
19%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2006 |
STU
1 - 3
VOI
46%
25%
29%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2006 |
WAC
1 - 0
STU
67%
19%
14%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2006 |
STF
3 - 1
STU
42%
27%
31%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2006 |
STU
2 - 2
FEL
35%
26%
40%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Bad Aussee
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2006 |
AUS
4 - 0
STF
56%
22%
22%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2006 |
FEL
2 - 2
AUS
55%
23%
22%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2006 |
AUS
2 - 0
UNP
64%
20%
16%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2006 |
WEL
3 - 3
AUS
48%
25%
28%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2006 |
AUS
4 - 2
GRI
75%
16%
9%
|
43 | 27 | 16 | +1 |