Stupnik vs Jadran analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.5%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
35.7%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stupnik
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
TRN
1 - 0
STU
80%
13%
7%
|
26 | 41 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
STU
2 - 2
DUG
30%
25%
45%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
HAS
1 - 1
STU
60%
21%
19%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
STU
1 - 4
VIN
8%
18%
75%
|
25 | 56 | 31 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2016 |
SEG
2 - 2
STU
87%
10%
3%
|
25 | 54 | 29 | 0 |
Matches
Jadran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
JAP
2 - 1
KRK
22%
24%
53%
|
28 | 44 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
SAM
1 - 0
JAP
68%
19%
13%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
TRN
1 - 2
JAP
79%
14%
7%
|
28 | 41 | 13 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
JAP
1 - 1
DUG
37%
25%
38%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2016 |
HAS
0 - 3
JAP
64%
21%
16%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | +2 |