Cup Lithuania Semi-finals
Global 1-3
Stumbras vs Zalgiris Vilnius analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.2%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.8%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
13.7%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.3%
55.4%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
4.8%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
16.5%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
9.9%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stumbras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2016 |
STU
2 - 3
ATL
40%
26%
34%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
STU
2 - 0
LIE
58%
22%
20%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2016 |
ZAL
1 - 1
STU
78%
14%
8%
|
60 | 76 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
UUT
1 - 0
STU
40%
26%
33%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
STU
2 - 3
SUD
28%
24%
48%
|
60 | 73 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Zalgiris Vilnius
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2016 |
TRA
1 - 0
ZAL
45%
24%
31%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
ZAL
3 - 0
KZA
73%
17%
9%
|
75 | 55 | 20 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2016 |
ZAL
1 - 1
STU
78%
14%
8%
|
76 | 60 | 16 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2016 |
ATL
2 - 1
ZAL
28%
25%
48%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
ZAL
2 - 2
LIE
76%
16%
8%
|
77 | 58 | 19 | -1 |