Q. Europa League First Round Final
Global 1-2
Stumbras vs Apollon Limassol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.7%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.3%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
62%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
11%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.9%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stumbras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jul. 2018 |
STU
2 - 0
FKP
49%
25%
26%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2018 |
STU
1 - 0
TRA
26%
26%
48%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | +1 |
| 16 Jun. 2018 |
ZAL
0 - 1
STU
73%
17%
10%
|
60 | 76 | 16 | +1 |
| 26 May. 2018 |
LIK
0 - 6
STU
11%
14%
75%
|
60 | 25 | 35 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2018 |
SUD
3 - 0
STU
69%
20%
11%
|
61 | 78 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Apollon Limassol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jul. 2018 |
SLI
4 - 0
APO
43%
25%
32%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2018 |
CRV
1 - 0
APO
62%
20%
18%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2018 |
LAS
2 - 1
APO
42%
26%
32%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2018 |
AEK
2 - 1
APO
47%
23%
29%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2018 |
OMO
1 - 0
APO
31%
26%
43%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | -1 |