UCL Qualifying 2nd Round Final
Global 0-3
Stromsgodset IF vs FCSB analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.8%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.5%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
15.5%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stromsgodset IF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jul. 2014 |
BBS
0 - 1
STR
26%
24%
50%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2014 |
STR
1 - 0
SAN
78%
14%
8%
|
82 | 65 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2014 |
AAB
2 - 2
STR
36%
26%
38%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2014 |
LSK
3 - 0
STR
28%
25%
48%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2014 |
STR
2 - 1
HAU
66%
19%
15%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
FCSB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jul. 2014 |
STB
1 - 1
AST
44%
23%
32%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2014 |
STB
1 - 1
AEL
50%
24%
25%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2014 |
OLD
1 - 4
STB
22%
25%
53%
|
79 | 60 | 19 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2014 |
STB
2 - 4
LUD
53%
24%
23%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2014 |
STB
0 - 0
AST
43%
24%
33%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |