Stromsgodset IF vs Sarpsborg 08 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.6%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.7%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.5%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
38.8%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.1%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.5%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
3º
16º
7º
37
8º
16º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
62 | 62 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 59 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
57 | 57 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
52 | 52 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
51 | 51 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
38 | 38 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 34 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 33 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
33 | 33 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
33 | 33 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
24 | 24 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
23 | 23 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions league qualifying phase (2nd r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stromsgodset IF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
HAU
0 - 0
STR
35%
27%
38%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
STR
0 - 1
BOG
26%
23%
52%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
VKG
5 - 2
STR
62%
21%
17%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
STR
3 - 2
LSK
36%
25%
39%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
SDF
2 - 2
STR
40%
26%
34%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Sarpsborg 08
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
S08
0 - 2
KRI
57%
23%
20%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
BBS
1 - 3
S08
57%
22%
21%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
BOG
6 - 0
S08
63%
19%
18%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
S08
2 - 2
HAU
59%
23%
19%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
ODD
1 - 1
S08
31%
24%
45%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | +1 |