Stromsgodset IF vs Molde FK analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.7%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
5%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.2%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
43.1%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
6
5º
15º
15º
17
9º
15º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
4º
|
29 | 57 |
1º
|
25.5% | |
|
1º
|
33 | 57 |
2º
|
26% | |
|
2º
|
31 | 54 |
3º
|
19.5% | |
|
3º
|
30 | 52 |
4º
|
20% | |
|
5º
|
27 | 49 |
5º
|
18% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 48 |
6º
|
14% | |
|
6º
|
25 | 46 |
7º
|
12.5% | |
|
7º
|
25 | 43 |
8º
|
17.5% | |
|
11º
|
18 | 42 |
9º
|
16.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
17 | 41 |
10º
|
13.5% | |
|
9º
|
21 | 40 |
11º
|
15% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 35 |
12º
|
20.5% | |
|
12º
|
18 | 34 |
13º
|
21.5% | |
|
14º
|
17 | 33 |
14º
|
26% | |
|
|
15º
|
6 | 22 |
15º
|
72% | |
|
16º
|
2 | 11 |
16º
|
92% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 1.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
8.5% | 95.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
12% | 2.5% |
|
Relegation
|
79.5% | 0.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stromsgodset IF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2025 |
FFK
3 - 2
STR
52%
25%
23%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2025 |
MFK
4 - 1
STR
64%
20%
16%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2025 |
STR
2 - 3
TRO
31%
26%
43%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2025 |
VKG
1 - 0
STR
62%
20%
18%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2025 |
STR
0 - 2
VIF
31%
26%
43%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Molde FK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2025 |
MFK
4 - 1
STR
64%
20%
16%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2025 |
FFK
4 - 2
MFK
35%
27%
38%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2025 |
TRO
1 - 0
MFK
38%
26%
36%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2025 |
MFK
2 - 3
KFU
60%
21%
19%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2025 |
VIF
2 - 3
MFK
47%
24%
30%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |