Q. Europa League 3rd Qualifying Round Final
Global 0-4
Stromsgodset IF vs HNK Hajduk Split analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.4%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.9%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
26.4%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stromsgodset IF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2015 |
TRO
0 - 6
STR
27%
25%
48%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2015 |
HKS
2 - 0
STR
42%
25%
34%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2015 |
STR
0 - 1
MBO
53%
23%
24%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2015 |
MBO
1 - 2
STR
49%
23%
28%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2015 |
LSK
1 - 2
STR
35%
25%
40%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
HNK Hajduk Split
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2015 |
HKS
2 - 2
SLA
68%
20%
12%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2015 |
HKS
2 - 0
STR
42%
25%
34%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2015 |
IST
4 - 1
HKS
18%
25%
57%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | -1 |
| 23 Jul. 2015 |
HKS
4 - 1
FCK
62%
21%
17%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Jul. 2015 |
HKS
0 - 0
SPL
58%
23%
19%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | -1 |