Strogino vs FK Orel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.9%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.6%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.3%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
34.7%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.2%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
7º
13º
10º
15
10º
16º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
32 | 68 |
1º
|
66% | |
|
2º
|
29 | 62 |
2º
|
30.5% | |
|
3º
|
29 | 62 |
3º
|
26% | |
|
4º
|
28 | 53 |
4º
|
24.5% | |
|
5º
|
28 | 53 |
5º
|
24.5% | |
|
6º
|
25 | 52 |
6º
|
27% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 43 |
7º
|
17.5% | |
|
9º
|
17 | 41 |
8º
|
17% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 39 |
9º
|
10% | |
|
|
10º
|
17 | 36 |
10º
|
15% | |
|
|
11º
|
15 | 36 |
11º
|
15% | |
|
8º
|
18 | 33 |
12º
|
16.5% | |
|
12º
|
14 | 32 |
13º
|
19% | |
|
13º
|
12 | 30 |
14º
|
26.5% | |
|
15º
|
4 | 19 |
15º
|
51% | |
|
14º
|
5 | 13 |
16º
|
74% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
99% | 96% |
|
Relegation
|
1% | 4% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Strogino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jun. 2025 |
SAL
3 - 1
STR
81%
13%
6%
|
35 | 53 | 18 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2025 |
STR
3 - 1
FKO
65%
19%
16%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2025 |
ZNA
2 - 3
STR
62%
21%
17%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | +1 |
| 31 May. 2025 |
STR
0 - 2
DIN
15%
24%
62%
|
34 | 54 | 20 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2025 |
SKA
3 - 4
STR
52%
23%
25%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
FK Orel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jun. 2025 |
FKO
0 - 1
ORE
21%
22%
58%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2025 |
ORE
0 - 0
DIN
15%
24%
61%
|
35 | 54 | 19 | +1 |
| 08 Jun. 2025 |
ARS
0 - 0
ORE
47%
23%
30%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2025 |
ORE
1 - 1
DIN
19%
22%
59%
|
34 | 47 | 13 | +1 |
| 24 May. 2025 |
MET
2 - 0
ORE
63%
22%
16%
|
35 | 45 | 10 | -1 |