Strogino vs Balashikha analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
84.2%
Win probability
3.1
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.6%
6-0
2.8%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.7%
5-0
5.3%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.6%
4-0
8.6%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.1%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.6%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
7%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.7%
10.5%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.5%
5.3%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
2º
8º
3º
18
2º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
42 | 25 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 24 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
41 | 23 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
39 | 19 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
29 | 18 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 17 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 16 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
26 | 13 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 13 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
24 | 12 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 11 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
18 | 8 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Strogino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2023 |
KOL
1 - 0
STR
31%
23%
46%
|
39 | 29 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
STR
3 - 2
ZAN
58%
21%
21%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2023 |
ZEN
2 - 1
STR
20%
23%
57%
|
40 | 28 | 12 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2023 |
STR
2 - 0
KHI
46%
23%
31%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2023 |
BAL
0 - 3
STR
21%
21%
58%
|
38 | 24 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Balashikha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2023 |
SAK
3 - 1
BAL
77%
14%
9%
|
21 | 34 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
FPP
2 - 1
BAL
76%
14%
10%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2023 |
BAL
0 - 5
FKO
24%
21%
56%
|
23 | 34 | 11 | -2 |
| 10 May. 2023 |
SPA
0 - 0
BAL
75%
15%
11%
|
22 | 32 | 10 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2023 |
BAL
0 - 3
STR
21%
21%
58%
|
24 | 38 | 14 | -2 |