Strogino vs Arsenal Tula II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.1%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.6%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.1%
23%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
34.9%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-24%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
9
5º
14º
14º
11
7º
13º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
26 | 69 |
1º
|
75% | |
|
3º
|
22 | 60 |
2º
|
32.5% | |
|
5º
|
19 | 56 |
3º
|
24% | |
|
2º
|
25 | 56 |
4º
|
22.5% | |
|
6º
|
16 | 50 |
5º
|
24.5% | |
|
4º
|
19 | 46 |
6º
|
19.5% | |
|
7º
|
16 | 44 |
7º
|
16% | |
|
8º
|
15 | 43 |
8º
|
20% | |
|
9º
|
15 | 37 |
9º
|
18% | |
|
|
11º
|
11 | 36 |
10º
|
9.5% | |
|
10º
|
14 | 33 |
11º
|
11.5% | |
|
13º
|
7 | 32 |
12º
|
17% | |
|
15º
|
7 | 32 |
13º
|
17% | |
|
|
12º
|
9 | 29 |
14º
|
18% | |
|
14º
|
7 | 26 |
15º
|
26% | |
|
16º
|
5 | 17 |
16º
|
66% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
80.5% | 95% |
|
Relegation
|
19.5% | 5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Strogino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2025 |
SPA
1 - 1
STR
62%
22%
16%
|
34 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2025 |
STR
0 - 1
DIN
18%
22%
60%
|
34 | 47 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
ROM
1 - 1
STR
59%
21%
20%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2025 |
STR
0 - 3
MET
31%
23%
46%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
ZVE
3 - 1
STR
64%
21%
15%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Arsenal Tula II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2025 |
DIN
2 - 1
ARS
73%
17%
10%
|
35 | 47 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2025 |
ARS
1 - 2
MET
29%
23%
48%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
ROT
3 - 1
ARS
20%
20%
60%
|
37 | 24 | 13 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2025 |
ARS
0 - 1
ZEN
49%
24%
28%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
SAL
2 - 1
ARS
75%
16%
9%
|
38 | 51 | 13 | 0 |