Strogino vs Arsenal Tula II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.8%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.5%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.6%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.2%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
47.9%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
14.5%
0-3
4%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
7.6%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-40%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
1º
12º
12º
31
2º
11º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
63 | 64 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
54 | 54 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 54 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 48 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 33 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
31 | 31 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
|
12º
|
31 | 31 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
27 | 27 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
21 | 21 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
19 | 19 |
15º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Strogino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
ZEN
2 - 0
STR
55%
22%
23%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
STR
1 - 1
SPA
41%
23%
36%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
KPP
2 - 0
STR
70%
17%
13%
|
35 | 45 | 10 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
STR
1 - 1
KHI
30%
23%
47%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
STR
0 - 1
FDV
27%
24%
49%
|
35 | 50 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Arsenal Tula II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
ARS
2 - 0
FKO
67%
19%
15%
|
40 | 31 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2024 |
SKA
2 - 1
ARS
24%
21%
56%
|
41 | 30 | 11 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
ARS
1 - 3
ORE
61%
20%
18%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
SAL
2 - 0
ARS
63%
21%
17%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
ARS
3 - 2
ZVE
50%
26%
25%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | +2 |