Strogino U16 vs Saturn-Master U16 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.3%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
10.4%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.2%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.9%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.2%
43.5%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
4.8%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
13%
0-3
3%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0.1%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-56%
+208%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
1º
9º
9º
24
10º
14º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
59 | 59 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 52 |
3º
|
93% | |
|
3º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
93% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
93% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
27 | 27 |
9º
|
89.5% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 25 |
10º
|
84.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
24 | 24 |
11º
|
91.5% | |
|
12º
|
21 | 21 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
19 | 19 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
10 | 10 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Strogino U16
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
STR
4 - 1
SSZ
68%
17%
15%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
KON
1 - 3
STR
67%
17%
16%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
STR
3 - 2
DIN
5%
11%
83%
|
12 | 38 | 26 | +5 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
CSK
3 - 1
STR
91%
7%
2%
|
13 | 33 | 20 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
STR
0 - 1
DIN
6%
11%
83%
|
13 | 38 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Saturn-Master U16
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
ROS
4 - 1
SAT
71%
16%
13%
|
21 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
CHE
5 - 1
SAT
51%
21%
28%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
ZEN
2 - 1
SAT
89%
8%
4%
|
22 | 44 | 22 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
SAT
3 - 2
SSZ
86%
10%
5%
|
22 | 13 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
ROS
0 - 2
SAT
68%
17%
15%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | +1 |