Stranraer vs Dumbarton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.4%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.6%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.1%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
60%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.4%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.4%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
2º
10º
10º
57
1º
5º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
68 | 68 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 60 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
57 | 57 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stranraer
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
SPA
0 - 0
STR
68%
19%
13%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
CLY
1 - 0
STR
46%
24%
30%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
STR
1 - 1
BRA
47%
25%
28%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
EAS
2 - 1
STR
58%
22%
20%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
STR
1 - 2
ELG
43%
24%
33%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Dumbarton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
DUM
1 - 0
CLY
59%
23%
18%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
FOR
0 - 2
DUM
35%
26%
40%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
DUM
0 - 0
STE
33%
27%
39%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
DUM
2 - 0
BRA
61%
22%
17%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
SPA
2 - 6
DUM
50%
24%
26%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | +1 |