Stranraer vs Dumbarton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.9%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.9%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
49.3%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stranraer
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
EAS
1 - 1
STR
67%
19%
14%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2019 |
AIR
2 - 2
STR
65%
21%
15%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2019 |
STR
0 - 3
FAL
31%
27%
42%
|
46 | 57 | 11 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2019 |
CLY
6 - 1
STR
66%
20%
14%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2019 |
STR
1 - 2
PET
25%
25%
50%
|
47 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Dumbarton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
DUM
3 - 1
FOR
37%
26%
37%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2019 |
DUM
1 - 2
CLY
38%
26%
36%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2019 |
EAS
2 - 2
DUM
53%
23%
24%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2019 |
DUM
0 - 1
AIR
37%
25%
38%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2019 |
MON
1 - 2
DUM
44%
25%
31%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | +1 |