Stranraer vs Dumbarton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.6%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.4%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
22.5%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stranraer
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
STR
1 - 0
PET
49%
23%
28%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
AIR
1 - 0
STR
49%
25%
27%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2016 |
STR
7 - 1
SPA
52%
22%
26%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
STR
2 - 5
ALL
54%
24%
22%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | -2 |
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
LIV
5 - 1
STR
40%
27%
33%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Dumbarton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
FAL
1 - 0
DUM
68%
19%
13%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
GRE
1 - 1
DUM
60%
22%
18%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
DUM
1 - 0
DUN
17%
22%
61%
|
49 | 70 | 21 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
DUN
4 - 3
DUM
70%
18%
13%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | -1 |
| 30 Jul. 2016 |
DUM
3 - 3
PET
34%
23%
43%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | -1 |