Stranraer vs Ayr United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.2%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.2%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.1%
32.7%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stranraer
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
STR
1 - 1
STE
39%
24%
36%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
FOR
4 - 0
STR
57%
21%
22%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | -2 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
STR
1 - 1
ARB
35%
23%
41%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2012 |
STR
0 - 8
LIV
33%
22%
46%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2012 |
STR
1 - 2
STE
49%
22%
29%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Ayr United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2012 |
STM
5 - 1
AYR
66%
20%
14%
|
53 | 70 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
AYR
2 - 3
FOR
56%
23%
21%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
ARB
4 - 2
AYR
58%
21%
20%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
AYR
1 - 1
STE
48%
25%
27%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2012 |
AYR
6 - 1
CLY
71%
18%
11%
|
54 | 41 | 13 | +1 |