Stranraer vs Ayr United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.9%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
30.5%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stranraer
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2008 |
ALL
5 - 1
STR
51%
24%
25%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2008 |
RAI
2 - 1
STR
51%
25%
24%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2008 |
STR
1 - 0
STI
50%
24%
27%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 2008 |
STR
1 - 2
BRE
37%
25%
37%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2008 |
QUE
2 - 2
STR
43%
27%
31%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Ayr United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2008 |
AYR
2 - 1
QUE
56%
24%
20%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2008 |
STI
2 - 2
AYR
46%
25%
29%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2008 |
AYR
2 - 1
ARB
41%
26%
33%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 2008 |
ALL
0 - 2
AYR
58%
22%
20%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | +2 |
| 02 Aug. 2008 |
AYR
0 - 0
RAI
44%
26%
30%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | -1 |