Stranraer vs Arbroath analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.6%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.4%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
33.2%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stranraer
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2008 |
PET
4 - 0
STR
64%
20%
16%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2008 |
STR
1 - 3
AYR
44%
26%
31%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2008 |
ALL
5 - 1
STR
51%
24%
25%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2008 |
RAI
2 - 1
STR
51%
25%
24%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2008 |
STR
1 - 0
STI
50%
24%
27%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Arbroath
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2008 |
ARB
1 - 1
QUE
54%
25%
21%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2008 |
BRE
3 - 1
ARB
66%
19%
15%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2008 |
ARB
1 - 2
STI
49%
25%
26%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2008 |
ARB
0 - 1
EAS
38%
26%
36%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2008 |
AYR
2 - 1
ARB
41%
26%
33%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | -1 |