Stourbridge vs Bashley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.3%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.2%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
24.5%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stourbridge
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2009 |
HEM
4 - 3
STO
59%
22%
19%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2009 |
STO
1 - 1
RUG
49%
23%
28%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2009 |
FAR
4 - 0
STO
70%
18%
12%
|
41 | 53 | 12 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2009 |
STO
1 - 2
CHI
48%
25%
28%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2009 |
MAN
1 - 2
STO
23%
25%
52%
|
41 | 31 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Bashley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2009 |
BAS
1 - 0
CLE
62%
22%
17%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2009 |
TIV
2 - 1
BAS
51%
25%
24%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2009 |
COR
3 - 1
BAS
57%
23%
20%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2009 |
BAS
2 - 1
HEM
28%
24%
48%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | +2 |
| 24 Jan. 2009 |
MAN
1 - 0
BAS
25%
27%
48%
|
41 | 31 | 10 | -1 |