Stourbridge vs Barwell analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.4%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.1%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
20.2%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stourbridge
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
NAN
2 - 3
STO
53%
23%
25%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2016 |
FRI
0 - 2
STO
37%
25%
37%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 2016 |
STO
1 - 2
HED
59%
21%
20%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
WAR
2 - 0
STO
48%
24%
28%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Jul. 2016 |
STO
2 - 0
STF
25%
25%
50%
|
47 | 59 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Barwell
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
BAR
1 - 1
SPE
29%
26%
45%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2016 |
BAR
2 - 1
MIC
57%
22%
22%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
WOR
0 - 1
BAR
62%
21%
17%
|
40 | 49 | 9 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2016 |
RFC
1 - 1
BAR
46%
25%
29%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
BAR
1 - 2
MAR
62%
21%
17%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | 0 |