Stormvogels vs USV Hercules analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.3%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.3%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.3%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
51.2%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15.5%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.2%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stormvogels
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2013 |
FCB
5 - 3
STO
31%
22%
47%
|
26 | 19 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
DWV
0 - 3
STO
41%
22%
37%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
STO
1 - 0
HOO
29%
24%
48%
|
23 | 33 | 10 | +2 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
UIT
7 - 1
STO
42%
22%
35%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | -2 |
| 01 Apr. 2013 |
STO
2 - 2
PAN
47%
23%
31%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
USV Hercules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2013 |
USV
2 - 2
DWV
79%
13%
8%
|
36 | 22 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
JOS
5 - 0
USV
44%
23%
33%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
HOO
3 - 2
USV
34%
24%
43%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
USV
4 - 0
UIT
75%
15%
10%
|
38 | 26 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
ZEE
1 - 2
USV
38%
24%
38%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | +1 |