Eredivisie - Play Offs Ascenso Final
Global 5-3
SC Telstar vs Willem II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.6%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.1%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.6%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
38.2%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.3%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SC Telstar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2025 |
TEL
2 - 1
BOS
59%
21%
20%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2025 |
BOS
0 - 0
TEL
36%
25%
40%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2025 |
ADO
0 - 1
TEL
56%
22%
22%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2025 |
TEL
2 - 0
ADO
34%
23%
42%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2025 |
TEL
3 - 0
FCE
41%
25%
35%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2025 |
WIL
3 - 2
FCD
47%
23%
30%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2025 |
FCD
2 - 1
WIL
44%
24%
33%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2025 |
NAC
1 - 1
WIL
31%
26%
43%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2025 |
WIL
1 - 2
ZWO
40%
24%
36%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2025 |
WIL
1 - 2
HER
42%
25%
33%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | -1 |