SC Telstar vs Excelsior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.6%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.7%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.5%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
38.7%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.2%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.5%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+38%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SC Telstar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2021 |
ALM
1 - 1
TEL
59%
23%
18%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2021 |
NEC
1 - 1
TEL
64%
21%
15%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2021 |
TEL
2 - 3
JUT
65%
20%
15%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2021 |
FCD
1 - 0
TEL
23%
24%
52%
|
58 | 44 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2021 |
TEL
3 - 1
RJC
39%
26%
35%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2021 |
EXC
2 - 1
NEC
31%
24%
45%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2021 |
BVO
7 - 2
EXC
75%
16%
9%
|
60 | 75 | 15 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2021 |
EXC
0 - 0
PSV
62%
20%
18%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
EXC
0 - 3
HEL
75%
15%
10%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2021 |
GRA
1 - 1
EXC
63%
21%
16%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | 0 |